HRT have just released a Q&A with Narain Karthikeyan in an attempt to feed the media beast during these lean, lean weeks.

You can read it all over the interwebs, and probably already have done, so I won't bother copying any of it here. But it did make me think about the team we spent two years mocking unreservedly.

I've already written about the injustice in some of that mockery, and I don't want to repeat myself. and I don't want to repeat myself. and I don't want to repeat myself.

But while they're still light years away from their first point in Formula One, HRT have been quietly impressing me this season. And it's all down to Luis Perez-Sala, who took on the role of team principal in December 2011.

Unlike many of my colleagues in the paddock, I had no prior experience of Perez-Sala before he joined HRT as a consultant last summer, and so I didn't know what to expect from the Spanish former racer.

He is a softly spoken man, eloquent and self-effacing, and seems to have a wry sense of humour. He gives great sound bites in press conferences, which is always a boon to journalists, and his management style - by all reports - has made him very popular within the team itself.

What Perez-Sala has done, and done well, is to manage expectations. In Formula One, the tendency is to aim high and speak with confidence. We'll score our first point this season. Our car is capable of fighting for regular podiums. Our drivers will be fighting for the championship at the end of the year.

But LPS is breaking F1 success down into a series of achievable goals, and the team is meeting those goals weekend by weekend. Achievement - even on a small scale - is essential to morale.

Sure, you could argue that HRT shouldn't have a checklist of achievement that included such steps as 'be allowed to race', 'pass the 107 percent rule', 'see both cars to the chequered flag'. But we've all got to start somewhere, right?

And now we're half-way through the season, and HRT have taken the fight to Marussia on occasion in qualifying. Their car is reasonably reliable, they're improving it bit by bit, and it's been a while since we had to concern ourselves with their ability to qualify.

They may not be the most successful team on the grid, but they've impressed me nonetheless.
 


Comments

elephino
21/08/2012 10:22

Speed per dollar, they're potentially the most successful team on the grid.

Each year, of their few in F1 so far, HRT appear forced to do a complete reset during the off season and yet after 3 or 4 races they've been sitting on the tail of Virgin/Marussia and coming through with enough reliability to end the season ahead of them. Of course it entails some luck but at the back end of the grid, good luck can make as much difference as good development in some races.

Reply
02/09/2012 20:25

I genuinely believe that - given the time to do it - Luis Prez-Sala is putting the right structures in place to give HRT a chance at being competitive in the long term. Maybe not as regular points scorers, but at least as a team that's capable of fighting the cars around them. They're definitely getting there.

Reply
Jem
22/08/2012 12:56

Problem with HRT is that beating Marussia in the Constructors is such a paper-thin achievement. One finish in a high attrition grand prix can be enough - it's Bernie's bleeding medal system all over again.

Being a professional geek I decided to run the numbers on HRT and Marussia's first two years, 2010 and 2011. The objective? To find the average "position" achieved as an arbitrary mesure of performance.

Your result looks something like this :

HRT 2010 : 17.72
Marussia 2010 : 17.60

HRT 2011 : 19.66
Marussia 2011 : 17.99

This just counts finishing positions though. How do we handle retirements and DNQs? Who knows, there's no easy classification for them - I decided to try simply arbitrarily saying that any non-finish was a 25th place, and it changes the numbers a bit...

HRT 2010 : 20.21
Marussia 2010 : 21.10

HRT 2011 : 21.21
Marussia 2011 : 19.66

It's perhaps unfair to claim that HRT have gone backwards from 2010 to 2011, but they've lost ground marginally, mainly due to reliability.

Simple fact is though, that Marussia have performed better overall, even if the Constructors Championship rules don't really convey that message.

Reply
02/09/2012 20:21

Sorry to take so long to reply to this - for some reason the comment notification only just came through!

Thanks very much for doing that maths - it's really interesting. But with your point about attrition, it's almost kismet that I'm replying post-Spa. Because that was a race of attrition, and we still didn't see any of the 'new' boys make points. Shame - I would have loved to see any one of the three backmarkers finally take home a point.

Reply
Jem
06/09/2012 18:59

No problems.

If you're interested, the current state of play is :

HRT 2012 : 20.09
Marussia 2012 : 18.02

Or adjusted for DNQ / DNS / DNF as before :

HRT 2012 : 21.71
Marussia 2012 : 19.46

I've been playing a bit with the stats with regard to the equivalence of a DNQ, DNS and DNF as I think it's fair to regard a DNQ as far worse than a DNF in terms of performance.

So, I've arbitrarily given the following "equivalent positions"

Retirement / NC finish : 25th
Did Not Start : 27th
Did Not Qualify : 30th

And you get this :

HRT 2010 : 20.21
Marussia 2010 : 21.21

HRT 2011 : 21.47
Marussia 2011 : 19.71

HRT 2011 : 22.13
Marussia 2011 : 19.54

The scary thing here is, HRT are apparently going backwards. There are a couple of mitigating factors :

1) The FIA wasn't policing the 107% rule much in 2010, so the early races when the backmarkers were miles off the pace, they weren't picking up the "30th place" for it.

2) The DNQs from Australia this year are dragging HRT's average down - given that they probably won't fail to qualify again (possibly more about stewarding than times, I've not checked). Even so, assuming their performance doesn't improve, they'll finish the year around 21.8, still down on 2011's 21.47.

To my mind, the facts fit the perception : Marussia are definitely the stronger of the two teams, having progressed more from potentially a worse start. This doesn't mean that HRT haven't objectively improved, they've just not overtaken Marussia.

To look at it another, perhaps simpler way :

Since entering the sport, an HRT finisher has beaten both Marussias on just 6 occasions, 5 of those in 2010. The last one was Canada 2011, the result which officially "won" the race for 11th for HRT.

At EVERY other race since Australia 2010 (quadruple retirement), at least one Marussia has a classified finish ahead of both HRTs.

Reply
06/09/2012 20:15

Now, see that I find very interesting. Not having done any maths (yeah, I'm awesome like that), from the outside it looked as though HRT were the team making the greatest improvements, even if they were very marginal. But stats tend not to lie...

Reply
Jem
07/09/2012 14:04

I've made no attempt to dig into the laptimes and things like that (yet...) but I'm quite enjoying this retirement-adjusted average position thing.

And then I thought : what if the F1 scoring system were different?

Moto GP operates a scoring system which goes down as far as 15th place. The reasons for this are dull and uninteresting, but there are grounds for doing the same thing in F1 especially now that reliability is so good or if Bernie ever gets his "Drivers Championship by medals" idea off the ground.

And as a comparison it's pretty handy because the scales are similar, still 25 points for a win, it just tails off slower. Constructors scores are rapidly inflated though by midfield point scoring.

What happens with Moto GP scoring?

In 2010, what do we get? Well first up, Lotus/Caterham score a point in their very first race in F1. HRT still end 2010 ahead of Marussia 9 points to 5, with Lotus-Caterham on a not-so-distant 20 - everyone else is at least 100 points ahead.

In 2011 however, Marussia grab 7 and HRT just 3 points. Lotus-Caterham remain on just 21 and Williams's appalling season sees them next on 71.

In 2012, Lotus-Caterham are only on 10, with STR on 71 already showing the gap between the established teams and the new guys. Marussia are on 7 points and HRT just 1.

But what does this all mean you crazy number-crunching fool?

Well, not a lot. But it's interesting to know that HRT don't look as bad under Moto GP scoring as on average position. It's possibly a more clear sign that HRT had a better start than Virgin-Marussia and have lost it since 2010.

Really the difference has been reliability. Check this out :

Number of DSQ/DNQ/DNS/DNF/NCs :

Red Bull 2010 : 5 (13%)
Lotus-Caterham 2010 : 14 (37%)
HRT 2010 : 13 (34%)
Virgin-Marussia 2010 : 18 (47%)

Red Bull 2011 : 2 (5%)
Lotus-Caterham 2011 : 9 (24%)
HRT 2011 : 11 (29%)
Virgin-Marussia 2011 : 9 (24%)

Red Bull 2012 : 1 (4%)
Lotus-Caterham 2012 : 4 (17%)
HRT 2012 : 8 (33%)
Virgin-Marussia 2012 : 5 (21%)

Something to think about : people might think that dropping the all-CFD approach for more conventional wind tunnel testing is what has made Virgin-Marussia perform better. Actually, it might just be the fact that their cars tend to reach the finish these days.

Reply
12/09/2012 23:52

Wow, Caterham have really improved in the reliability stakes! Marussia/Virgin have done well, but Caterham have seen significant improvement from year to year.

Reply
Jem
16/09/2012 00:04

Yep, Caterham's reliability has improved from "shocking" through "substandard" to "average" - they're 6th from 12 in reliability this year.

1 Red Bull
2= Ferrari / Force India
4= McLaren / Toro Rosso
6 Caterham
8= Lotus / Marussia
10= Mercedes / Sauber
12 HRT

It's not that everyone else is doing a poor job either, comparing Caterham's 2012 reliability to the past two and half seasons puts them 5th, behind only "the big three" and Force India.

16/09/2012 14:02

And what of Lotus' reliability were it not for Grosjean's proliferation of lap 1 incidents followed by retirement? I'll admit I'm surprised to see Sauber so low down on the list.

Jem
16/09/2012 16:24

Kimi and Rosberg are the only drivers to have finished every race this year - plus Vettel who was officially classified as a 22nd place finish at Monza for having completed enough laps.

I'll get my big spreadsheet tidied up, upload it somewhere and send you the link.

Reply
16/09/2012 18:38

That would be great, thanks! :)

Reply



Leave a Reply